Introduction
Sebastian Morris ()
Chapter Chapter 1 in Macroeconomic Policy in India Since the Global Financial Crisis, 2022, pp 1-21 from Springer
Abstract:
Abstract In this book, we bring out the performance of the Indian economy, and review the approach of macroeconomic policy especially demand management in the Indian economy, since the Global Financial Crisis. We also consider the COVID crisis and its impact, and the measures adopted to mitigate its effects by both the government and the central bank focusing on the macroeconomic dimensions of the various initiatives. We also cover the issues related to manufacturing performance in India. At end of November 2021, the economy showed a mixed response with the stock market rising sharply though the recovery was modest, and as on date is yet to go decisively over the levels reached in 2019 a year before the crisis. There is much hope though that the capital investments cycle which had been depressed almost since 2012–13 would revive based on the government’s initiatives in manufacturing, and due to the positive effects (for India) from the vastly changed global economic environment, especially those related to China, and its relationship with Europe and US, especially the latter. The institution of GST has created disincentives against investment support on the part of regional governments, and the institutional mechanism also makes it difficult to quickly use tax cuts as countercyclical policy and puts an upward political bias to keep rates high. We also lay out an enhanced macroeconomic framework that recognizes shocks that heighten uncertainty increasing the portfolio demand for money, as the role of “structural” policies on the capacity (full employment) output in macroeconomic management. We bring out the limitations in the CPI that is used by policymakers including in the core CPI. We also take into account the correction required in the new GDP11-12 series which had in the early years overestimated the growth in the Indian economy. This chapter covers the conceptual enhancements to the standard macroeconomic framework and also provides a synopsis of the coverage and results brought in other chapters of the book.
Date: 2022
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:isbchp:978-981-19-1276-4_1
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DOI: 10.1007/978-981-19-1276-4_1
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