Ripple Effect Analysis of Two-Stage Supply Chain Using Probabilistic Graphical Model

Seyedmohsen Hosseini () and Sarder Md ()
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Seyedmohsen Hosseini: University of Southern Mississippi
Sarder Md: Bowling Green State University

A chapter in Handbook of Ripple Effects in the Supply Chain, 2019, pp 181-191 from Springer

Abstract: Abstract Supply chain disruptions are increasingly caused by growing global supply sourcing, complexity, and interconnectedness of supply chains (SCs). A key challenge in the context of supply chain disruption management is to control and monitor the ripple effect of SCs. The ripple effect occurs when the impact of disruption cannot be localized and propagates throughout the SC. Like the bullwhip effect, the ripple effect can negatively impact performance both upstream and downstream of SC entities. This work proposes a new methodology, based on a probabilistic graphical model, to analyze the ripple effect in a two-stage SC. The probabilistic graphical model developed is capable of capturing disruption propagation that can transfer from upstream suppliers to downstream end customer in an SC.

Keywords: Ripple effect; Supply chain; Disruption; Supply chain management (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:isochp:978-3-030-14302-2_9

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DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-14302-2_9

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