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Kernel density estimation based distributionally robust mean-CVaR portfolio optimization

Wei Liu (), Li Yang () and Bo Yu ()
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Wei Liu: Beijing Normal University
Li Yang: Dalian University of Technology
Bo Yu: Dalian University of Technology

Journal of Global Optimization, 2022, vol. 84, issue 4, No 10, 1053-1077

Abstract: Abstract In this paper, by using weighted kernel density estimation (KDE) to approximate the continuous probability density function (PDF) of the portfolio loss, and to compute the corresponding approximated Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR), a KDE-based distributionally robust mean-CVaR portfolio optimization model is investigated. Its distributional uncertainty set (DUS) is defined indirectly by imposing the constraint on the weights in weighted KDE in terms of $$\phi $$ ϕ -divergence function in order that the corresponding infinite-dimensional space of PDF is converted into the finite-dimensional space on the weights. This makes the corresponding distributionally robust optimization (DRO) problem computationally tractable. We also prove that the optimal value and solution set of the KDE-based DRO problem converge to those of the portfolio optimization problem under the true distribution. Primary empirical test results show that the proposed model is meaningful.

Keywords: Portfolio optimization; Distributionally robust optimization; Kernel density estimation; CVaR; 90B50; 90C15; 90C25; 90C90 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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DOI: 10.1007/s10898-022-01177-5

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