Sustainable Agriculture in China: Estimation and Reduction of Nitrogen Impacts

Günther Fischer (), Wilfried Winiwarter (), Tatiana Ermolieva (), Gui-Ying Cao (), Harrij Velthuizen (), Zbigniew Klimont (), Wolfgang Schoepp (), Wim Veen (), David Wiberg () and Fabian Wagner ()
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Günther Fischer: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis
Wilfried Winiwarter: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis
Tatiana Ermolieva: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis
Gui-Ying Cao: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis
Harrij Velthuizen: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis
Zbigniew Klimont: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis
Wolfgang Schoepp: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis
Wim Veen: Vrije Universiteit
David Wiberg: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis
Fabian Wagner: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis

A chapter in Managing Safety of Heterogeneous Systems, 2012, pp 327-350 from Springer

Abstract: Abstract In this chapter we present an integrated model for long term and geographically explicit planning of agricultural activities to meet demands under resource constraints and ambient targets. Environmental, resource and production feasibility indicators permit estimating impacts of agricultural practices on environment to guide agricultural policies regarding production allocation, intensification, and fertilizer application while accounting for local constraints. Physical production potentials of land are incorporated in the model, together with demographic and socio-economic variables and behavioral drivers to reflect spatial distribution of demands and production intensification levels. The application of the model is demonstrated with a case study of nitrogen accounting at the level of China counties. We discuss current intensification trends and estimate the ranges of agricultural impacts on China’s environment under plausible pollution mitigation scenarios with a particular focus on nitrogen sources and losses.

Keywords: Livestock Production; Nitrogen Loss; Ammonia Emission; Nitrogen Pollution; Expected Shortfall (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:lnechp:978-3-642-22884-1_16

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DOI: 10.1007/978-3-642-22884-1_16

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