Earthquake risk–sensitive model for urban land use planning

Hooman Motamed (), Mohsen Ghafory-Ashtiany (), Kambod Amini-Hosseini (), Babak Mansouri () and Bijan Khazai ()
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Hooman Motamed: International Institute of Earthquake Engineering and Seismology (IIEES)
Mohsen Ghafory-Ashtiany: International Institute of Earthquake Engineering and Seismology (IIEES)
Kambod Amini-Hosseini: International Institute of Earthquake Engineering and Seismology (IIEES)
Babak Mansouri: International Institute of Earthquake Engineering and Seismology (IIEES)
Bijan Khazai: Center for Disaster Management and Risk Reduction Technology (CEDIM)

Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, 2020, vol. 103, issue 1, No 4, 87-102

Abstract: Abstract This paper outlines an optimisation model for land use planning which could be used by public officials and other stakeholders to prepare a risk-sensitive development plan fulfilling standard regulations of urban planning with an emphasis on earthquake protection. The presented model is based on a mixed integer quadratic programming method that produces an optimal land use distribution for a given urban area. A number of standard planning criteria namely land use suitability, accessibility and permeability to critical facilities and public services, land use resistance to change, provision of required land uses, as well as seismic hazard avoidance have been incorporated into the model. The performance of the model has been verified by benchmarking the generated outputs against expert-made plans for a pilot area in District 17th of the city of Tehran, Iran.

Keywords: Risk-sensitive planning; Land use planning; Optimisation; Earthquake protection (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
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DOI: 10.1007/s11069-020-03960-7

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