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A local-scale approach to estuarine flood risk management

Paula Freire (), Alexandre O. Tavares (), Luís Sá (), Anabela Oliveira (), André B. Fortunato (), Pedro P. Santos (), Ana Rilo (), João L. Gomes (), João Rogeiro (), Rui Pablo () and Pedro J. Pinto ()
Additional contact information
Paula Freire: National Civil Engineering Laboratory
Alexandre O. Tavares: Coimbra University
Luís Sá: National Authority for Civil Protection
Anabela Oliveira: National Civil Engineering Laboratory
André B. Fortunato: National Civil Engineering Laboratory
Pedro P. Santos: Coimbra University
Ana Rilo: National Civil Engineering Laboratory
João L. Gomes: National Civil Engineering Laboratory
João Rogeiro: National Civil Engineering Laboratory
Rui Pablo: Civil Protection Service of Seixal Municipality
Pedro J. Pinto: National Civil Engineering Laboratory

Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, 2016, vol. 84, issue 3, No 11, 1705-1739

Abstract: Abstract New challenges in flood risk management are raised by climate change and land-use development. These challenges are particularly complex in estuarine and coastal systems, where different hazard sources interact in a dynamic socio-economic context. This paper presents an innovative approach to support flood risk management in estuaries. The approach, developed at a local-scale basis, is applied in the case study of the Tagus estuary (Portugal). The methodology is supported by the regional framing of the study area and integrates hazard, exposed elements, territorial vulnerability and risk assessments considering different climate scenarios. Through the involvement of the various risk management dimensions, the results allow the definition of a new decision-making supporting framework for emergency and land-use planning. At the emergency level, the results include a WebGIS interface providing an early warning system for the locations with highest risk of flooding and the definition of emergency planning guidelines. A set of flood adaptation actions based on land-use and occupation measures are recommended to increase resilience in face of flooding and future sea level rise. The institutional capacity-building is achieved through the availability of information and tools that can effectively support decision-making. Additionally, the outcomes contribute to better understand flood risk in estuaries and to strengthen its prevention, preparedness and response, priorities defined in the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015–2030.

Keywords: Flooding; Estuaries; Territorial vulnerability; Extreme events; Early warning; Decision-making (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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DOI: 10.1007/s11069-016-2510-y

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