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Study on the Control Measures of MDRO Transmission in ICU Based on Markov Process

Zhu Min () and Su Qiang
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Zhu Min: Tongji University
Su Qiang: Tongji University

A chapter in Smart Service Systems, Operations Management, and Analytics, 2020, pp 355-364 from Springer

Abstract: Abstract Intensive care unit (ICU) has the highest outbreak rate of Multidrug-Resistant OrganismsMultidrug-Resistant Organisms (MDRO) (MDRO) infection. In this paper, the control measuresControl measures of MDRO transmission in ICU were studied. Considering the incubation period and media transmission of MDRO, we combine the compartmental model and continuous time Markov chain (CTMC) to build the stochastic model of MDRO transmission in ICU. The model was expanded into a bidimensional Markov transmission modelBidimensional Markov transmission model based on the heterogeneity of population. By simulation, the key factors of the transmission model were quantitatively analyzed, and the state evolution rulesState evolution rules of patients and medical staff were studied. Then, through the sensitivity analysisSensitivity analysis , we get some manage insights to provide control suggestions for MDROMultidrug-Resistant Organisms (MDRO) transmission in each scenario.

Keywords: Multidrug-resistant organisms; Control measures; Bidimensional Markov transmission model; State evolution rules; Sensitivity analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:prbchp:978-3-030-30967-1_32

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DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-30967-1_32

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