Seismic Risk Mitigation Decisions Under Uncertainty

Robin K. McGuire
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Robin K. McGuire: Risk Engineering Inc.

Chapter 8 in Risk Assessment, Modeling and Decision Support, 2008, pp 185-198 from Springer

Abstract: Abstract Decisions about the level of resources appropriate for seismic risk mitigation must be made in the context of uncertainties about seismic risk. This is true if uncertainties are quantified and is also true if they are ignored, for ignoring uncertainties does not make them go away. Critical uncertainties are related to the level of seismic hazard (the amplitudes of ground motion and their frequencies of occurrence) and to the vulnerabilities of facilities to seismic shaking. With a complete description of these uncertainties, complete seismic risk curves (loss vs. annual frequency of occurrence) can be developed. These seismic risk curves can form the basis for informed decisions about seismic risk mitigation.

Keywords: Ground Motion; Nuclear Power Plant; Seismic Hazard; Seismic Design; Seismic Risk (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2008
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DOI: 10.1007/978-3-540-71158-2_8

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