Anticipating Disasters Through a Security Twin

Fabrizio Baiardi (), Salvatore Ruggieri () and Vincenzo Sammartino ()
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Fabrizio Baiardi: Universita di Pisa, Dip. di Informatica
Salvatore Ruggieri: Universita di Pisa, Dip. di Informatica
Vincenzo Sammartino: Universita di Pisa, Dip. di Informatica

A chapter in Dynamics of Disasters, 2026, pp 1-14 from Springer

Abstract: Abstract A security twin is a specialization of a digital twin focused on the security and robustness properties of an ICT/OT infrastructure. By running adversary emulations that use a security twin, we can discover how a hybrid threat can exploit vulnerabilities to build intrusions to penetrate and control critical infrastructures. According to the target infrastructure, the control by a threat may result in a disastrous impact on the whole society. Information on possible intrusions is fundamental to anticipate potential disasters and to increase the resilience of a (digital) society. Due to the highly dynamic evolutions of both infrastructures and hybrid threats, we advocate that only adversary emulation using a security twin can convey the information to forecast intrusions and prevent social and economic disasters. We also discuss how to execute adversary emulations and how a security twin is built and updated.

Keywords: Security twin; Adversary emulation; Data shift; Elementary attack; Fault (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2026
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DOI: 10.1007/978-3-032-08606-8_1

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