“False Positive” Majority-Minority Election Districts in a Statewide Plan

Peter A. Morrison and Thomas M. Bryan
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Peter A. Morrison: Peter A. Morrison & Associates
Thomas M. Bryan: Bryan GeoDemographics

Chapter Chapter 12 in Redistricting: A Manual for Analysts, Practitioners, and Citizens, 2019, pp 99-106 from Springer

Abstract: Abstract Multidistrict congressional election plans may propose several districts designed to have slender racial/ethnic majorities in order to garner minority support. A plan ostensibly having such districts may be vulnerable to challenge by an opposing party. Among the several “majority minority” districts, there may be one or more statistical “false positives.” This chapter shows how to gauge that possibility. An applied statistician can follow this step-by-step illustration to evaluate such slender-majority districts in a plan and utilize our guidelines to evaluate any plan’s vulnerability to challenge.

Keywords: Cracking; “False positive”; Gerrymander; Majority-minority; Multidistrict plan; Packing (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:sprchp:978-3-030-15827-9_12

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DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-15827-9_12

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