Demonstrations, Grievance, and Civil Conflict
Atin Basuchoudhary,
James Bang,
John David () and
Tinni Sen ()
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John David: Virginia Military Institute
Tinni Sen: Virginia Military Institute
Chapter Chapter 7 in Identifying the Complex Causes of Civil War, 2021, pp 89-99 from Springer
Abstract:
Abstract In this chapter, we show that Empirically Informed Covariate Selection can inform future directions of research. Specifically, we have identified how the search for alternate treatments tells us about the possible causes of demonstrations. We find that civil conflict may be part of a continuum of political contention, suggesting that grievance remains a contender as a cause for conflict. Last, as part of a trend with previous chapters, we show that the relative accuracy of different algorithms matters. The less accurate LOGIT, for example, posits a very different causal relationship between demonstrations and civil war than BART. This difference may be why the literature on civil war has not pursued grievance as a cause of conflict.
Keywords: Grievance matters; Predictive accuracy; Grievance causes conflict (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:sprchp:978-3-030-81993-4_7
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DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-81993-4_7
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