Speculative Manias
Robert Z. Aliber,
Charles P. Kindleberger and
Robert McCauley
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Robert Z. Aliber: University of Chicago
Charles P. Kindleberger: Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Chapter Chapter 3 in Manias, Panics, and Crashes, 2023, pp 37-66 from Springer
Abstract:
Abstract ‘Mania’ suggests a loss of connection with rationality. Do many investors in real estate or stocks anticipate prices on the basis of recent increases in their prices—the bubble case—or do they anticipate prices more rationally on the basis of estimates of the assets’ earning power? Rational individuals can contribute to irrational market outcomes. Displacements that trigger manias include the onset or the end of a war, a series of good or bad harvests, the opening of new markets, big financial deals, financial liberalization, and technical innovations such as canals, railroads, electricity, automobiles and the internet. Just as the triggers vary, so do the objects of speculation: commodities, agricultural land, urban building sites, stocks, bonds (both foreign and domestic), glamor stocks, residential and commercial property, and crypto assets.
Date: 2023
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:sprchp:978-3-031-16008-0_3
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DOI: 10.1007/978-3-031-16008-0_3
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