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Temporally-Adaptive Linear Classification for Handling Population Drift in Credit Scoring

Niall M. Adams (), Dimitris K. Tasoulis (), Christoforos Anagnostopoulos () and David J. Hand ()
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Niall M. Adams: Imperial College London, Department of Mathematics
Dimitris K. Tasoulis: Imperial College London, Department of Mathematics
Christoforos Anagnostopoulos: Imperial College London, The Institute for Mathematical Sciences
David J. Hand: Imperial College London, Department of Mathematics

A chapter in Proceedings of COMPSTAT'2010, 2010, pp 167-176 from Springer

Abstract: Abstract Classification methods have proven effective for predicting the creditworthiness of credit applications. However, the tendency of the underlying populations to change over time, population drift, is a fundamental problem for such classifiers. The problem manifests as decreasing performance as the classifier ages and is typically handled by periodic classifier reconstruction. To maintain performance between rebuilds, we propose an adaptive and incremental linear classification rule that is updated on the arrival of new labeled data. We consider adapting this method to suit credit application classification and demonstrate, with real loan data, that the method outperforms static and periodically rebuilt linear classifiers.

Keywords: classification; credit scoring; population drift; forgetting factor (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:sprchp:978-3-7908-2604-3_15

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DOI: 10.1007/978-3-7908-2604-3_15

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