Mortality

Stanley K. Smith, Jeff Tayman and David A. Swanson
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Stanley K. Smith: University of Florida, Bureau of Economic and Business Research
Jeff Tayman: University of California-San Diego, Economics Department
David A. Swanson: University of California Riverside, Department of Sociology

Chapter Chapter 4 in A Practitioner's Guide to State and Local Population Projections, 2013, pp 51-76 from Springer

Abstract: Abstract Mortality rates have fallen dramatically over the last two centuries. Driven by improving living conditions and scientific, medical, and public health advances, life expectancy at birth in the United States has more than doubled since 1800. Given the magnitude of past changes and the uncertainty regarding future changes, mortality plays a central role in the production of cohort-component population projections. In this chapter, we describe several measures of mortality and discuss survival, the converse of mortality. We consider two types of survival rates, focusing primarily on the one used most frequently for projections in the United States. We discuss the data sources and techniques used in constructing survival rates and consider several perspectives regarding future mortality trends. We pay particular attention to the special problems of projecting survival rates for states and local areas and close with an assessment of the impact of mortality assumptions on population projections.

Keywords: Life Table; Population Projection; Crude Death Rate; Decennial Census; Social Security Administration (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:ssdmcp:978-94-007-7551-0_4

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DOI: 10.1007/978-94-007-7551-0_4

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