Implementing the Cohort-Component Method

Stanley K. Smith, Jeff Tayman and David A. Swanson
Additional contact information
Stanley K. Smith: University of Florida, Bureau of Economic and Business Research
Jeff Tayman: University of California-San Diego, Economics Department
David A. Swanson: University of California Riverside, Department of Sociology

Chapter Chapter 7 in A Practitioner's Guide to State and Local Population Projections, 2013, pp 155-183 from Springer

Abstract: Abstract In previous chapters, we discussed a variety of data sources, measurement issues, and projection techniques related to mortality, fertility, and migration, the three components of population change. In this chapter, we describe how to put these components together in a complete projection model. We begin with a discussion of several issues that must be considered when setting up a cohort-component model. Then, we present three step-by-step examples, each based on commonly used computational procedures. These examples illustrate three different approaches to projecting migration, the most difficult component of population growth to forecast accurately for states and local areas. We close with an assessment of the strengths and weaknesses of the cohort-component method.

Keywords: Migration Rate; American Community Survey; Fertility Module; Migration Model; Decennial Census (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

There are no downloads for this item, see the EconPapers FAQ for hints about obtaining it.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:ssdmcp:978-94-007-7551-0_7

Ordering information: This item can be ordered from
http://www.springer.com/9789400775510

DOI: 10.1007/978-94-007-7551-0_7

Access Statistics for this chapter

More chapters in The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis from Springer
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Sonal Shukla () and Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing ().