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Evolution, Noise Traders, and Market Efficiency in a One-Sided Auction Market

Guo Ying Luo ()
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Guo Ying Luo: McMaster University

Chapter Chapter 6 in Evolutionary Foundations of Equilibria in Irrational Markets, 2012, pp 113-155 from Springer

Abstract: Abstract This chapter builds an evolutionary model of one-sided buyer auction market toexamine if the informational efficiency would still occur as a long run outcome. Here, each trader’s behavior is preprogramed with its own inherent and fixed probabilities of overpredicting, predicting correctly, and underpredicting the fundamental value of the asset. This chapter shows that, if each buyer’s initial wealth is sufficiently small relative to the market supply and if the variation in the asset’s random shock is sufficiently small, then as time gets sufficiently large, the proportion of time, that the asset price is arbitrarily close to the fundamental value, converges to one with probability one.

Keywords: Asset Price; Positive Probability; Risky Asset; Market Maker; Asset Market (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:steccp:978-1-4614-0712-6_6

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DOI: 10.1007/978-1-4614-0712-6_6

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