Country risk and international trade: evidence from the China-B&R countries

Zhengwen Wang, Yunxiao Zong, Yuwan Dan and Shi-Jie Jiang

Applied Economics Letters, 2021, vol. 28, issue 20, 1784-1788

Abstract: This study conducts a time-varying stochastic frontier gravity model to explore the interactions between country risk and foreign trade for the Belt and Road countries. By using the data of bilateral trades between 134 countries and China during 2003–2018, empirical results show that reduction of country risk will increase the bilateral trades between China and these countries. Based on these findings, the implementation of the Belt and Road initiative may effectively hedge the country risk of the trade partners and promotes their bilateral trades with China.

Date: 2021
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DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1854433

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