Home Foreclosures and Neighborhood Crime Dynamics

Sonya Williams, George Galster and Nandita Verma

Housing Studies, 2014, vol. 29, issue 3, 380-406

Abstract: We advance scholarship related to home foreclosures and neighborhood crime by employing Granger causality tests and multilevel growth modeling with annual data from Chicago neighborhoods over the period 1998-2009. We find that completed foreclosures temporally lead property crime and not vice versa. More completed foreclosures during a year both increase the level of property crime and slow its decline subsequently. This relationship is strongest in higher income, predominantly renter-occupied neighborhoods, contrary to the conventional wisdom. We did not find unambiguous, unidirectional causation in the case of violent crime and when filed foreclosures were analyzed.

Date: 2014
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DOI: 10.1080/02673037.2013.803041

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