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A critical examination of models and projections of demand in water utility resource planning in England and Wales

Gareth Walker

International Journal of Water Resources Development, 2013, vol. 29, issue 3, 352-372

Abstract: Demand modelling plays a vital role in water resource management yet has rarely been critically reviewed. This paper adopts a critical realist framework for a historical analysis of demand modelling practices and their role in long-term water resource management in England and Wales from 1945 to 2010. It then focuses on recent domestic demand models in the English and Welsh private water sector. A critique of scientific realist assumptions regarding demand models is presented and the role of the current regulatory environment in encouraging a highly strategic use of demand models is discussed. Policy recommendations toward more effective modelling practices are made.

Date: 2013
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DOI: 10.1080/07900627.2012.721679

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