Green economy transitioning of the South African power sector: A system dynamics analysis approach

Josephine K Musango, Alan C Brent and Mapula Tshangela

Development Southern Africa, 2014, vol. 31, issue 5, 744-758

Abstract: Modelling approaches are utilised to understand complex and dynamic issues, which are characteristic of the South Africa power sector, especially since the sector has been at the centre of green economy debates. This paper thus draws on a system dynamics approach that captures and represents the dynamic behaviour of transforming the power sector with a green economy framework. This was done utilising the South Africa Green Economy Model and investigating whether current policies and strategies can improve economic growth, while at the same time reducing the impact on the environment and providing more employment. In general, the paper shows that green economy investments in the power sector provide opportunities for achieving the diversification of the energy mix, job creation, as well as CO 2eq emissions reduction. However, more aggressive investments are necessary if all of the targets, as laid out in the National Development Plan, are to be achieved.

Date: 2014
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DOI: 10.1080/0376835X.2014.930792

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