Turning down the heat: Influences on conflict management in enduring rivalries

Pelle Andersen, Justin Bumgardner, J. Michael Greig and Paul F. Diehl

International Interactions, 2001, vol. 27, issue 3, 239-274

Abstract: Enduring rivalries represent the most difficult challenges for policy makers seeking to promote international peace and security. Once in place, enduring rivalries account for a disproportionate number of crises, militarized disputes, as well as wars, and include conflicts that are more likely to escalate than those falling in other conflict contexts. Unfortunately, we know very little about conflict management in enduring rivalries from either a theoretical or policy perspective. This study seeks to account for why some rivalries are successfully managed while others persist at high and unabated levels of conflict In addressing these concerns, we explore 35 enduring rivalries over the period 1945--1992. We find that although enduring rivalries are quite resistant to influences that produce changes in their dynamics, both endogenous and contextual influences can exercise a significant impact upon the prospects for conflict management between enduring rivals.

Date: 2001
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DOI: 10.1080/03050620108434985

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