Great Britain and the European Constitution: A Strategic analysis

John H. P. Williams

International Interactions, 2005, vol. 31, issue 1, 55-85

Abstract: Great Britain holds an ambiguous position within the European Union (EU), as it is a full member of many EU institutions, but remains outside of others. Would full participation improve its influence within key EU institutions? Usin g a strategic interaction model, I assess British influence in the critical debate over the new European Constitution, looking both at status quo circumstances and simulating the effect of British entry. The result forecasts the likely outcome of the constitutional debate: significant changes will emerge that strengthen EU powers, but the changes will fall short of the supranationalism sought by some. Although isolated for this issue, the British can promote their preferences whether in or out of the EMU, so entry provides no political advantage. British entry does have a significant impact, however, as such a move improves the political circumstances for other large powers within the EU. The results support coalition theory for explaining and managing Britain’s position within the EU.

Date: 2005
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DOI: 10.1080/03050620590919443

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