Deadly foreign terrorism and the rank-ordered tournament for foreign press attention: implications for counterterrorism

Crystal Shelton, Erik Cleven and Aaron M. Hoffman

International Interactions, 2019, vol. 45, issue 2, 344-368

Abstract: Limiting the attention countries receive from the foreign press is thought to reduce the incidence of deadly foreign attacks, but by how much? We show that the incidence of deadly foreign terrorism increases as a nonlinear function of the level of foreign press attention states receive. As a result, the benefits of reducing foreign press attention to prevent deadly foreign terrorist attacks are uneven: some states stand to benefit more than others. Nevertheless, we also show that reducing press attention produces, at best, only minor reductions in the number of deadly foreign terrorist attacks states experience. These results suggest that reducing foreign press attention may not provide as much security as governments expect.

Date: 2019
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DOI: 10.1080/03050629.2019.1529668

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