Predictive evaluation of human value segmentations

Kristoffer Jon Albers, Morten Mørup, Mikkel N. Schmidt and Fumiko Kano Glückstad

The Journal of Mathematical Sociology, 2022, vol. 46, issue 1, 28-55

Abstract: Data-driven segmentation is an important tool for analyzing patterns of associations in social survey data; however, it remains a challenge to compare the quality of segmentations obtained by different methods. We present a statistical framework for quantifying the quality of segmentations of human values, by evaluating their ability to predict held-out data. By comparing clusterings of human values survey data from the forth round of European Social Study (ESS-4), we show that demographic markers such as age or country predict better than random, yet are outperformed by data-driven segmentation methods. We show that a Bayesian version of Latent Class Analysis (LCA) outperforms the standard maximum likelihood LCA in predictive performance and is more robust for different number of clusters.

Date: 2022
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DOI: 10.1080/0022250X.2020.1811277

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