Differences in Population Estimates Between an Administrative System and Census: The Case of Israel

Ahmad Hleihel

Mathematical Population Studies, 2006, vol. 13, issue 2, 63-82

Abstract: The component method of population estimation relies on census counts, vital statistics, and internal and international migration. In Israel, all individuals' events are registered. To apply the component method, individuals' records from the census and the administrative data are aggregated to give population estimates. However, this method disconnects individual from aggregated characteristics, and differences appear in individual characteristics between census and administrative data. The Israel Central Bureau of Statistics conducted individual follow-ups. The pros and cons of each method are presented. On average, individual estimates on statistical areas are larger than aggregate estimates, and the differences are stable after several years. The individual estimates are preferable under at least four situations: in conducting a registry of emigrants; in conducting a census of institutions; where administrative files are available; and where census method is suitable to this method.

Keywords: statistical areas; population estimates; census; component method; population registry; administrative files (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2006
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DOI: 10.1080/08898480600619995

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