Predicting the long-term impacts of COVID-19 on household location preferences: the rise of red giant and white dwarf cities

Akshay Vij, Ali Ardeshiri, Lynette Washington, Chris Leishman and Andrew Beer

Regional Studies, 2025, vol. 59, issue 1, 2584892

Abstract: We used stated preference experiments with 2970 Australian households to predict the long-term impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on household location preferences. Within metropolitan areas, we find an increase in the popularity of low-density middle- and outer-city neighbourhoods. Between regional cities, we find that population, proximity to the coast and proximity to a major capital city increase attractiveness. Together, these preferences are predicted to be a suburbanising force at the metropolitan level and an agglomerating force at the regional level, consolidating economic and population growth in and around the largest city centres, which will usurp smaller nearby regional places.

Date: 2025
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DOI: 10.1080/00343404.2025.2584892

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