Failure and Success in Political Polling and Election Forecasting

Andrew Gelman

Statistics and Public Policy, 2021, vol. 8, issue 1, 67-72

Abstract: The recent successes and failures of political polling invite several questions: Why did the polls get it wrong in some high-profile races? Conversely, how is it that polls can perform so well, even given all the evident challenges of conducting and interpreting them?

Date: 2021
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DOI: 10.1080/2330443X.2021.1971126

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