Alt Gruplar Kullanilarak Hesaplanan Isgucu Rezervi

Gulnihal Tuzun and Ayse Arzu Yavuz

CBT Research Notes in Economics from Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey

Abstract: [TR] Issizlik ve katilim oranlari, isgucu piyasasinin gorunumu hakkinda bilgi sunan ve ozellikle politika yapicilar tarafindan yakindan takip edilen onemli degiskenlerdir. Is cevrimlerinin isgucune katilma oranina etkisi, isgucu piyasasinda yilgin ve ilave calisan etkisi olarak adlandirilan ve birbirlerine ters yonde hareket eden iki farkli olguyu ortaya cikarmaktadir. Bu calismada, Turkiye’de isgucune katilim orani modeller cercevesinde, soz konusu etkiler mercek altina alinarak alt gruplar ayriminda incelenmistir. Model sonuclari, Turkiye’de yilgin calisan etkisinin isgucu piyasasinda etkili oldugunu ve ilave calisan etkisinin anlamli bulunmadigini gostermektedir. [EN] Unemployment and participation rates are important variables that provide information about the outlook for the labor market and are especially followed closely by policy makers. The effect of business cycles on the labor force participation rate reveals two different phenomena in the labor market, called the discouraged and the additional workers effect, which work in opposite directions. In this study, the labor force participation rate in Turkiye was examined within the framework of models, by examining the effects in question and separating them into subgroups. Model results show that the discouraged workers effect is effective in the labor market in Turkiye, and the additional workers effect is not found to be significant.

Date: 2024
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