Kuresel Tasimacilik Maliyetlerinin Ihracata Etkisi

Okan Eren

CBT Research Notes in Economics from Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey

Abstract: [TR] Bu calisma, kuresel tasimacilik maliyetlerinin Turkiye’nin reel ihracat buyumesine etkisini 2013C1- 2024C1 doneminde incelemektedir. Tasimacilik maliyetleri, temel olarak ihracatcilar ile yerel ureticiler arasindaki rekabeti dogrudan, ihracatcilarin kendi aralarindaki rekabeti de dolayli etkilemektedir. Ana ihracat pazarlarina cografi olarak cogu rakibinden daha yakin olan Turkiye’nin, tasimacilik maliyetlerinin yukseldigi (azaldigi) donemlerde daha uzaktaki ihracatci rakiplerine gore fiyat avantaji kazanmasi (kaybetmesi) beklenir. Bulgular, tasimacilik maliyetleri icin tahmin edilen katsayinin istatistiksel olarak anlamli ve pozitif olduguna isaret etmektedir. Kuresel tasimacilik maliyetlerinde 10 yuzde puanlik bir artis (azalis), reel ihracat buyumesini ortalama 0,3 yuzde puan yukseltmektedir (dusurmektedir). Bu etki, tasimacilik maliyetlerinin yuksek artis ve azalis sergiledigi donemlerde iktisadi olarak daha belirgin hale gelmektedir. Ayrica bu sonuclar, Turkiye icin dolayli etkilerin dogrudan etkilerden daha baskin oldugunu gostermektedir. [EN] This study examines the impact of global transportation costs on Türkiye’s real export growth between 2013Q1 and 2024Q1. Transportation costs primarily affect the competition between exporters and local producers directly and the competition among exporters indirectly. When transportation costs increase (decrease), Türkiye, which is geographically closer to its main export markets than most of its competitors, is expected to gain (lose) a price advantage over its more distant export competitors. The findings indicate that the estimated coefficient for transportation costs is statistically significant and positive. A 10-percentage-point rise (fall) in global transportation costs, on average, increases (decreases) real export growth by 0.3 percentage points. This effect becomes more pronounced economically during periods when transportation costs exhibit high increases and decreases. Furthermore, these results show that indirect effects are more dominant than direct effects for Türkiye.

Date: 2025
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ara
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.tcmb.gov.tr/wps/wcm/connect/897d2cce-0 ... d2d5441dc72f-pjL0nPb (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:tcb:econot:2503

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in CBT Research Notes in Economics from Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by () and ().