Meyve-Sebze Piyasalari icin Alternatif Gostergeler

Saide Simin Bayraktar and Aslihan Atabek Demirhan

CBT Research Notes in Economics from Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey

Abstract: [TR] Temel amaci fiyat istikrari olan merkez bankalari icin fiyat gelismelerinin takibini destekleyecek bilgi setlerini genisletmek, zamanli ve saglikli ongoruler yapilmasina katki saglayacak yontemler gelistirmek oldukca onemlidir. TUFE sepeti icerisinde en yuksek agirliga sahip gida ve alkolsuz icecekler grubunun yaklasik dortte birlik kismini olusturan taze meyve ve sebze arzi ve dolayisi ile fiyatlari yuksek mevsimsel ve duzensiz degisimler gostermektedir. Meyve ve sebze grubuna iliskin gelismelerin takibi gerek gida guvenligi gerekse sepet agirlik yapisi goz onune alindiginda enflasyon acisindan onemli olmasina ragmen konuya iliskin mevcut veri setleri ve gostergelerin oldukca sinirli oldugu bilinmektedir. Bu calismada, taze meyve-sebze arz ve fiyat gelismelerinin yakindan takibine olanak saglayacak yeni oncu gostergelerin tanitimi amaclanmaktadir. [EN] For central banks, whose primary objective is price stability, expanding information sets is crucial for effectively monitoring price developments and improving forecasting methods. The fresh fruit and vegetable group, which accounts for nearly a quarter of the food and non-alcoholic beverages category -the highest-weighted group in the CPI basket- exhibits significant seasonal and irregular price fluctuations due to supply variability. Although tracking price and supply dynamics in this group is essential for both food security and inflation analysis, the availability of relevant data and indicators remains limited. This study aims to introduce new leading indicators that will enhance the monitoring of supply and price developments in the fresh fruits and vegetables market.

Date: 2025
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