Aholi elektr energiya iste’moli hajmining ekonometrik tahlili

N.N. Turayev

GREEN ECONOMY AND DEVELOPMENT, 2024, vol. 2, issue 12

Abstract: Maqolada O‘zbekiston Respublikasi uy-joy sektorida elektr energiya ta’minoti hajmi bo‘yicha ARIMA(AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average) modeli tuzilgan va 2029-yilgacha prognoz ko‘rsatkichlari ishlab chiqilgan.Model tuzish jarayoni batafsil yoritilib, uning tartibi aniq belgilangan. Korrelogramma yordamida ma’lumotlarning o‘zarobog‘lanishlari tahlil qilingan, hamda statistik metodlar asosida ma’lumotlarning statsionarligi tekshirilgan. Modelninganiqligi va statistik ahamiyati ham alohida sinovlardan o‘tkazilib, prognoz qilishning ishonchliligi tasdiqlangan. Ushbu ish,O‘zbekistonning uy-joy sektori uchun elektr energiya ta’minotini prognozlashda samarali yondashuvni taklif etadi.

Keywords: Uy-joy sektorida elektr energiya ta’minoti; aholi elektr energiya iste’moli; elektr energiyaga talab; ARIMA; model; regressiya; korrelogramma; model tartibi; ACF va PACF. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:teu:ged000:v:2:y:2024:i:12:id:4202

DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.14703028

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