IQTISODIYOTDA ENERGIYA TIZIMINING TUTGAN O‘RNINI MODELLASHTIRISHDA ARDL MODELINING NAZARIY AHAMIYATI

Jo‘rabek Kuralbayev

GREEN ECONOMY AND DEVELOPMENT, 2026, vol. 4, issue 2

Abstract: Ushbu tadqiqotda iqtisodiyotda energiya tizimining tutgan o‘rnini modellashtirishda Autoregressive DistributedLag (ARDL) modelining nazariy va amaliy ahamiyati tahlil qilinadi. Energiya iste’moli, energiya ishlab chiqarish hamdamakroiqtisodiy ko‘rsatkichlar o‘rtasidagi qisqa va uzoq muddatli bog‘liqliklarni aniqlashda ARDL modelining ustunliklariasoslab beriladi. Tadqiqotda ARDL modeli M. H. Pesaran, Yongcheol Shin va Richard J. Smith (2001) tomonidan taklifetilgan Bounds testing yondashuvi asosida ko‘rib chiqiladi hamda u Robert F. Engle va Clive W. J. Granger (1987)tomonidan ishlab chiqilgan kointegratsiya va ECM nazariyasi bilan taqqoslanadi. Natijalar shuni ko‘rsatadiki, ARDL modelikichik tanlanmalarda samarali ishlaydi, I(0) va I(1) darajadagi o‘zgaruvchilarni bir model doirasida birlashtira oladi hamdaqisqa va uzoq muddatli parametrlarni bir vaqtning o‘zida baholash imkoniyatiga ega

Keywords: ARDL; energiya tizimi; energiya iste’moli; iqtisodiy o‘sish; kointegratsiya; ECM; Bounds test (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2026
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:teu:ged000:v:4:y:2026:i:2:id:9374

DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18830819

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