DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION OF DECISION-MAKING IN THE NATIONAL ELECTRICITY GRID OF UZBEKISTAN

Abdumalik A. Djumanov, Mukhlisa M. Gafurova and Tursunmurod R. Sobirov

GREEN ECONOMY AND DEVELOPMENT, 2026, vol. 4, issue 5

Abstract: This study focuses on the computer simulation modeling of the national electricity grid of Uzbekistan. Theoperation of the electricity grid was simulated using a hybrid simulation model, in which each region was considered asan individual agent integrated into a stochastic model, while the energy supply to the agents was designed using a systemdynamics approach. Input data modeling revealed that electricity supply and consumption patterns across regions anddifferent months are characterized by various probability distribution types depending on the nature of the observed data.The developed hybrid simulation model made it possible to analyze potential developments of Uzbekistan’s nationalelectricity supply system by considering several strategic energy projects, including the introduction of additionalhydroelectric power generation, photovoltaic power stations, and nuclear power plants, as well as increases in industrialelectricity demand, electric vehicle consumption, and population growth. The findings demonstrate that the integration ofgreen energy (GE) reduces CO₂ emissions from conventional power plants (PPs), particularly when energy losses withinthe electricity grid are reduced simultaneously.

Keywords: electricity grid; digital modeling; hybrid simulation model; green energy; CO₂ emissions; prescriptive analytics (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2026
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:teu:ged000:v:4:y:2026:i:5:id:10427

DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.20186283

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