Unemployment Dynamics in the OECD

Michael Elsby, Bart Hobijn and Aysegul Sahin

The Review of Economics and Statistics, 2013, vol. 95, issue 2, 530-548

Abstract: We provide a set of comparable estimates for the rates of inflow to and outflow from unemployment using publicly available data for fourteen OECD economies. Using a novel decomposition that allows for deviations of unemployment from its flow steady state, we find that fluctuations in both inflow and outflow rates contribute substantially to unemployment variation within countries. Anglo-Saxon economies exhibit approximately a 15:85 inflow-outflow split to unemployment variation, while continental European and Nordic countries display closer to a 45:55 split. In all economies, increases in inflows lead increases in unemployment, whereas outflows lag a ramp-up in unemployment. © 2013 The President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

Keywords: unemployment; OECD (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E24 J6 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (229)

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Related works:
Working Paper: Unemployment Dynamics in the OECD (2011)
Working Paper: Unemployment dynamics in the OECD (2009)
Working Paper: Unemployment Dynamics in the OECD (2008)
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