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Convolutional Neural Networks to signal currency crises: from the Asian financial crisis to the Covid crisis

Eric Avenel
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Eric Avenel: Univ Rennes, CNRS, CREM – UMR6211, F-35000 Rennes France

Economics Working Paper Archive (University of Rennes & University of Caen) from Center for Research in Economics and Management (CREM), University of Rennes, University of Caen and CNRS

Abstract: The successive Cournot oligopoly model presented in Salinger (1988) is very popular in the literature on vertical relations. There is however a problem in this model, since the assumption of elastic supply on the intermediate market is inconsistent with the assumption that upstream firms choose their output before downstream firms place their orders. I show that dropping the assumption of elastic supply on the intermediate market and complementing the model with a well chosen allocation rule - the competitive rule of Cho and Tang (2014) - restores the validity of the results in Salinger (1988) and the subsequent contributions using the same model.

Keywords: Cournot competition; successive oligopoly; allocation rule. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: L13 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024-06
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-big, nep-cmp, nep-ind and nep-sea
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:tut:cremwp:2024-02

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