Do Postsecondary Training Programs Respond to Changes in the Labor Market?

Michel Grosz

Journal of Human Capital, 2022, vol. 16, issue 4, 461 - 487

Abstract: This paper analyzes whether postsecondary training programs have kept up with shifts in the occupational structure of the labor market over the past decades. I compare long-term trends in the distribution of employment, degrees, and certificates across occupation groupings using data from the US census and from the nation’s largest community college system. I then estimate that an occupation’s share of community college completions grows by approximately half a percentage point for every percentage point increase in its share of employment. I show that this relationship is primarily driven by increases in student demand rather than by colleges expanding capacity.

Date: 2022
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