Families at a Loss: The Asymmetric Relationship between Income Changes and Child Human Capital

Giorgia Menta

Journal of Human Capital, 2025, vol. 19, issue 1, 115 - 168

Abstract: I here assess the link between distributional changes in family income and child human capital. Using a value-added model and data from a UK child cohort, I show evidence of an asymmetric effect of income gains and losses on child noncognitive development. Only income losses are associated with a reduction in children’s socioemotional health—with one-third of the effect operating through measures of maternal well-being—while no effect is found for income gains. This is consistent with a model of human capital formation where the quality and quantity of parental inputs react to changes in family income asymmetrically.

Date: 2025
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