Determinantes da Inflação Brasileira no Período Recente (2010-2022)

Edson Roberto Vieira (), Vinícius Alencar Moreira () and Antonio Marcos de Queiroz ()
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Edson Roberto Vieira: FACE/UFG
Vinícius Alencar Moreira: FACE/UFG
Antonio Marcos de Queiroz: FACE/UFG

No 103, Working papers - Textos para Discussao do Curso de Ciencias Economicas da UFG from Curso de Ciencias Economicas da Universidade Federal de Goias - FACE

Abstract: This study investigates the main determinants of Brazilian inflation from January 2010 to December 2022. An autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model was estimated, and a historical contextualization was carried out to examine the dynamics of these determinants during the period studied. The results suggest that the strength and direction of the impacts of the variables in explaining Brazilian inflation have been influenced by adverse factors in the recent period, such as the Covid-19 pandemic and government interference in fuel prices during the Dilma (2011-2015) and Bolsonaro (2018-2022) governments.

Keywords: Inflation; exchange rate; oil; commodities; ARDL Model. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C32 E31 F41 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 25 pages
Date: 2024-12
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mon
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