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Between Theory and Reality: Growth analysis of Italy in the Post-Keynesian Framework

Federica Arena ()

Department of Economics University of Siena from Department of Economics, University of Siena

Abstract: This study aims to advance the analysis of Italian economic growth by examining the long-term relationship between autonomous demand and GDP through time series econometrics, while providing a comparative assessment of autonomous demand multipliers. The econometric analyzes support two key conclusions: first, that autonomous demand has been the long-term growth engine in Italy; and second, that the economic slowdown following Italy’s accession to the EU may have been driven by the low multiplier values associated with exports

Keywords: Supermultiplier Model; Italian Economic Growth; Vector Error Correction Model (VECM); Local Projections; Multipliers Jel Classification: C32; E12; E62 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2026-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-eec
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