Confronting Climate Uncertainty in Water Resources Planning and Project Design

Casey M. Brown and Patrick A. Ray

No 22544 in World Bank Publications - Books from The World Bank Group

Abstract: The Decision Tree Framework described in this book provides resource-limited project planners and program managers with a cost-effective and effort-efficient, scientifically defensible, repeatable, and clear method for demonstrating the robustness of a project to climate change. At the conclusion of this process, the project planner will be empowered to confidently communicate the method by which the vulnerabilities of the project have been assessed, and how the adjustments that were made (if any were necessary) improved the project’s feasibility and profitability. The framework adopts a “bottom-up” approach to risk assessment that aims at a thorough understanding of a project’s vulnerabilities to climate change in the context of other nonclimate uncertainties (for example, economic, environmental, demographic, or political). It helps to identify projects that perform well across a wide range of potential future climate conditions, as opposed to seeking solutions that are optimal in expected conditions but fragile to conditions deviating from the expected.

Keywords: Environment-Climate Change and Environment Environment-Water Resources Management Water Resources-Water Resources Assessment Poverty Reduction-Poverty; Environment and Development (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
ISBN: 978-1-4648-0477-9
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (11)

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