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Global Economic Prospects, January 2023

World Bank

No 38030 in World Bank Publications - Books from The World Bank Group

Abstract: Global growth is projected to decelerate sharply, reflecting synchronous policy tightening aimed at containing very high inflation, worsening financial conditions, and continued disruptions from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Investment growth in emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs) is expected to remain below its average rate of the past two decades. Further adverse shocks could push the global economy into recession. Small states are especially vulnerable to such shocks because of the reliance on external trade and financing, limited economic diversification, elevated debt, and susceptibility to natural disasters. Against this backdrop, it is critical that EMDE policy makers ensure that any fiscal support is focused on vulnerable groups, that inflation expectations remain well anchored, and that financial systems continue to be resilient. Urgent global and national efforts are also needed to mitigate the risks of global recession and debt distress in EMDEs, and to support a major increase in EMDE investment.

Keywords: Finance; and; Financial; Sector; Development; International; Economics; and; Trade; Macroeconomics; and; Economic; Growth (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
ISBN: 978-1-4648-1906-3
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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