Hardening fault lines: CESEE in the age of fragmentation

Vasily Astrov, Alexandra Bykova, Selena Duraković (), Meryem Gökten, Richard Grieveson, Maciej Grodzicki, Ioannis Gutzianas, Doris Hanzl-Weiß, Marcus How, Gabor Hunya, Branimir Jovanovic, Niko Korpar, Dzmitry Kruk, Sebastian Leitner, Benedetta Locatelli, Isilda Mara (), Emilia Penkova-Pearson, Olga Pindyuk, Sara Rehak, Sandor Richter, Marko Sošić, Bernd Christoph Ströhm and Maryna Tverdostup
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Selena Duraković: The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw, https://wiiw.ac.at/selena-durakovic-s-1658.html

No Autumn2025, wiiw Forecast Reports from The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw

Abstract: CESEE stands at a crucial turning point, as labour shortages, the inflation shock and geopolitical developments potentially force a shift from a low-wage, export-driven model toward one based on investment, innovation and higher productivity.

Keywords: CESEE Central and Eastern Europe; economic forecast; Western Balkans; CIS; Ukraine; Russia; Turkey; EU; business cycle; economic sentiment; euro area; convergence; labour markets; unemployment; Russia-Ukraine war; commodity prices; inflation; price controls; trade disruptions; renewable energy; gas; electricity; monetary policy; fiscal policy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E20 E21 E22 E24 E32 E5 E62 F21 F31 H60 I18 J20 J30 O47 O52 O57 P24 P27 P33 P52 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 146 pages including 30 Tables and 42 Figures
Date: 2025-10
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mac
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