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Importing the Opioid Crisis? International Trade and Fentanyl Overdoses

Timothy J Moore, William W. Olney and Benjamin Hansen
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Timothy J Moore: Purdue University
William W. Olney: Williams College

No 2025_115, Department of Economics Working Papers from Department of Economics, Williams College

Abstract: "The U.S. opioid crisis is now driven by fentanyl, a powerful synthetic opioid that currently accounts for 90% of all opioid deaths. Fentanyl is smuggled from abroad, with little evidence of how this happens. We find a positive relationship between state-level imports and drug overdoses, which is consistent with fentanyl smuggling occurring via legal trade flows. This relationship accounts for 14,000-20,000 deaths per year, and is not explained by geographic differences in ``deaths of despair,'' general demand for opioids, or import competition. Our results suggest that fentanyl smuggling via imports is pervasive and a key determinant of recent opioid problems."

Keywords: opioid crisis; fentanyl; drug overdoses; smuggling; drug trafficking; imports (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F1 F6 K4 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 68
Date: 2025-08-27
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-hea
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