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State Income Tax Changes and the Demand for Municipal Bond Funds

Jon A. Fulkerson and Nancy L. Haskell ()
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Jon A. Fulkerson: University of Dayton, Dayton, OH, USA
Nancy L. Haskell: University of Dayton, Dayton, OH, USA

Quarterly Journal of Finance (QJF), 2021, vol. 11, issue 04, 1-35

Abstract: We consider how state income tax changes affect the demand for municipal bonds by in-state investors. A tax increase (decrease) makes investing in municipal bonds more (less) desirable, and theory predicts a change in demand by investors until the yields on municipal bonds reach a new equilibrium. Using a sample of state-specific municipal bond funds, we find states with tax decreases have net outflows in the following year of approximately 2% per percentage point drop in tax rates, while tax increases lead to inflows around 1.58%. We find that the response to tax changes is not the immediate reallocation predicted in perfect markets with no frictions.

Keywords: Municipal bonds; state income taxes; mutual funds (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
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DOI: 10.1142/S2010139221500166

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