The Economic Importance of the Sugar Industry for Fiji

Paresh Kumar Narayan and Biman Chand Prasad
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Paresh Kumar Narayan: Department of Accounting, Finance and Economics, Griffith University, Queensland, Australia
Biman Chand Prasad: Department of Economics, The University of the South Pacific, Fiji

Chapter 10 in Computable General Equilibrium Approaches in Urban and Regional Policy Studies, 2006, pp 189-203 from World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd.

Abstract: AbstractFor over a century, the sugar industry has been perceived as the backbone of the Fijian economy, given its contributions to gross domestic product (GDP) and employment generation. However, due to the non-renewal of land leases and the gradual withdrawal of the preferential prices by the European Union, the industry is on the verge of collapse. We use the Fiji computable general equilibrium model to simulate the economy-wide impact of a 30% reduction in sugar production. Amongst our key results, we find that in the long-run a 30% reduction in sugar production leads to a 2.1% fall in exports, and government expenditure and real consumption fall by 1.9 and 1.6%, respectively. These declines in the aggregate demand components are reflected in a fall of around 1.8% in Fiji's GDP. The negative repercussion of declining economic growth is reflected in a 1.5% decline in real national welfare.

Keywords: Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) Model; Social Accounting Matrix (SAM); Urban and Regional Policies (or Urban and Regional Policy Evaluation); Each Industry's Market Clearance; Structural and Long-Term Policy Impacts (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E5 E6 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2006
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