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Features of Financial Returns

Stephen J. Taylor
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Stephen J. Taylor: Lancaster University, UK

Chapter 2 in Modelling Financial Time Series, 2007, pp 26-61 from World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd.

Abstract: AbstractThe following sectiong are included:CONSTRUCTING FINANCIAL TIME SERIESSourcesTime scalesAdditional informationUsing futures contractsPRICES STUDIEDSpot pricesFutures pricesCommodity futuresFinancial futuresExtended seriesAVERAGE RETURNS AND RISK PREMIAAnnual expected returnsCommon stocks and ordinary sharesSpot commoditiesSpot currenciesCommodity futuresSTANDARD DEVIATIONSRisks comparedFutures and contract ageCALENDAR EFFECTSDay-of-the-weekStocksCurrenciesAgricultural futuresStandard deviationsMonth-of-the-year effects for stocksSKEWNESSKURTOSISPLAUSIBLE DISTRIBUTIONSAUTOCORRELATIONFirst-lagLags 1 to 30TestsNON-LINEAR STRUCTURENot strict white noiseA characteristic of returnsNot linearConsequences of non-linear structureSUMMARYAPPENDIX 2(A) AUTCORRELATION CAUSED BY DAY-OF-THE-WEEK EFFECTSReturnsSquared returnsAPPENDIX 2(B) AUTOCORRELATIONS OF A SQUARED LINEAR PROCESS

Keywords: ARCH Models; Exchange Rates; Forecasting; Stock Markets; Time Series; Volatility (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2007
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