Evolution of International Stock and Bond Market Integration: Influence of the European Monetary Union

Suk-Joong Kim (), Fari Moshirian and Eliza Wu

Chapter 12 in Information Spillovers and Market Integration in International Finance:Empirical Analyses, 2018, pp 391-428 from World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd.

Abstract: This chapter examines the dynamic relationship between daily stock and government bond returns of selected countries over the past decade to infer the state and progress of inter-financial market integration. We proceed to empirically investigate the influence of the European Monetary Union (EMU) on time-variations in inter-stock-bond market integration/ segmentation dynamics using a two-step procedure. First, we document the downward trends in time-varying conditional correlations between stock and bond market returns in European countries, Japan and the US. Second, we investigate the causality and determinants of this interdependent relationship, in particular, whether the various macroeconomic convergence criteria associated with the EMU have played a significant role. We find that real economic integration and the reduction in currency risk have generally had the desired effect on financial integration but monetary policy integration may have created uncertain investor sentiments on the economic future of the European monetary union, thereby stimulating a flight to quality phenomenon.

Keywords: Currency Intervention; Macroeconomic News; International Capital Flows; Sovereign Credit Rating (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F30 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
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Journal Article: Evolution of international stock and bond market integration: Influence of the European Monetary Union (2006)
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