Growth-Oriented Adjustment Programs: A Statistical Analysis

Riccardo Faini, Jaime de Melo, Abdelhak Senhadji and Julie Stanton

Chapter 5 in Developing Countries in the World Economy, 2015, pp 125-135 from World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd.

Abstract: This paper gives a statistical analysis of economic performance under International Monetary Fund (IMF) — World Bank (WB) growth-oriented adjustment programs, The evaluation is based on a sample of 93 countries and makes a comparison of the average values of economic indicators during 1982–86 with the corresponding values during 1978–81. The methodology controls for the external environment and for initial conditions. The paper finds no evidence of a statistically better (or worse) growth performance for loan recipient countries.The paper then examines the investment-output relationship for a group of 14 countries that received a large number of growth-oriented adjustment loans. An estimate is provided of the foregone growth because of lower aggregate investment !'luring the period of adjustment. The paper concludes that the desired signs of a sustainable recovery through higher investment were not evident, at least through 1986.

Keywords: Trade Barriers and Market Structure; Quantitative Restrictions; Political Economy and Migration; Trade and the Environment (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
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Related works:
Journal Article: Growth-oriented adjustment programs: A statistical analysis (1991)
Working Paper: Growth oriented adjustment programs: a statistical analysis (1990)
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