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Cartel Sales Dynamics when Monitoring for Compliance is More Frequent than Punishment for Non-Compliance

Joseph E. Harrington and Juan-Pablo Montero

Chapter 7 in The Analysis of Competition Policy and Sectoral Regulation, 2014, pp 175-192 from World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd.

Abstract: This study investigates when a cartel that uses a sales quota allocation scheme monitors more frequently than it enforces; for example, monitoring of sales is done on a weekly basis but firms are only required to comply with sales quotas on a quarterly basis. In a simple three-period quantity game with i.i.d cost and demand shocks, we show that the volatility of a cartel member's sales follows a U-shape within the compliance horizon. In comparison, sales volatility is constant over time under competition. This result offers a simple empirical test for distinguishing collusion from competition using sales data.

Keywords: Competition Policy; Sectoral Regulation; Pattern Asymmetry; Market Consolidation; Grocery Retailing; Pricing Developments; Industry Structure; Price Effects of Mergers; Input Price Shocks; Quantity Discounts (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
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Working Paper: Cartel Sales Dynamics when Monitoring for Compliance is More Frequent than Punishment for Non-Compliance (2013) Downloads
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