中国城镇居民住房的需求与供给

邹至庄 and 牛霖琳

No 2013-10-14, Working Papers from Wang Yanan Institute for Studies in Economics (WISE), Xiamen University

Abstract: 本文研究了自1980年代后期中国城镇住房商品化以来城镇居民住房的需求与供给。我们从耐用消费品需求与供给的标准理论出发，在联立方程框架下估计城镇住房的需求与供给方程，得到了需求的收入与价格弹性及供给的价格弹性的估计值。通过对1987-2006年全国城镇总体水平年度数据的分析，我们发现城镇住房价格的快速上涨主要可由需求与供给的作用解释，即人均收入和建筑成本的变化决定了房价的整体趋势。城镇住房需求的（长期）收入弹性约为1，需求的价格弹性在0.5到0.6之间。住房存量总供给的价格弹性约为0.83。

Keywords: 住房需求、住房供给、联立方程 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C3 R2 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013-10-14
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